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First Half 2024 Letter

Estimated Reading Time: 12 minutes. Click here to read a PDF version of this letter. Dear GreenWood Investor:      Our accounts and funds generated satisfactory performance in the first half, modestly outperforming our benchmark. Our separate accounts, which have…

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Third Quarter 2020 Letter

This quarter's 4-page letter discusses why we’re encouraged about the progress we’ve made on three fronts: 1) in performance (+15.4% in the fund, or 7.2% alpha), 2) further fundamental transformation at CTT which will be more evident in the quarters ahead…

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Thinking Now & Later

Before it was cool to dump on General Electric and its “we must beat the quarter” Jack Welch-era style management, in a public manner, David Cote did so by proving there was a better way. In his new book, Winning…

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The Wandering TRIP

"Not all those who wander are lost." JRR Tolkien  One of the most frequent monsters in investors’ collection of nightmares is “thesis creep.” This is when the dynamics have changed to the point where you can barely recognize the original…

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Noise, Intuition & Judgement

At our investor day in September, we spoke with Dr. Phil Tetlock about the roles of noise filtering, intuition and game theory in good decision-making. We also kicked off a new Superforecasting trial that we're conducting with our investors in…

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Boiled Frog Prevention

By Steven Wood on Friday, January 11, 2019 One of the best parts of having an investment process that appeals mostly to sophisticated investors is the introductory meetings are nearly always very enlightening for us. While we have long said we…

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